Middle East funds plan to move aggressively into Kuwaiti stocks as the market prices in expectations that index compiler FTSE will add the Arabian Gulf state to its secondary emerging market index, a monthly Reuters poll found.
At the end of September, FTSE is to announce its decision on whether to include Kuwait and Saudi Arabia in the index. Analysts at Arqaam Capital and EFG Hermes believe the chances of both countries meeting FTSE's inclusion criteria are high, though actual entry into index, once a decision was made, would probably not take place until late 2018.
Sixty-two per cent of respondents expect to raise their allocations to Kuwaiti stocks over the next three months and none anticipate cutting them, according to the poll of 13 regional fund managers conducted over the past week.
That is the most bullish allocation towards Kuwait since the launch of the survey in September 2013.
"Apart from expectations for higher government spending, buyers are hoping FTSE will next month give notice of Kuwait entering its EM index in September 2018," said Akber Khan, head of asset management at Al Rayan Investment.
"Since active investors have long been underweight, this has triggered panic buying of some Kuwaiti blue chips." The logistics firm Agility, for example, has climbed more than 17 per cent in the past two months.
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Saudi Arabia's inclusion in the FTSE index has been more anticipated, and funds began building Saudi positions in anticipation of MSCI's decision in June to review Riyadh for possible inclusion in its own emerging market index.
This has left funds with little incentive to keep boosting allocations to Saudi Arabia, especially given the greater vulnerability of Saudi state finances to low oil prices compared to wealthy Kuwait, and the fact that second-quarter earnings at major Saudi firms were uninspiring, another manager said.
Twenty-three per cent of respondents expect to raise exposure to Saudi equities and 15 per cent to reduce them - the least positive stance towards Saudi Arabia since November 2016.
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The latest poll also showed managers have turned negative towards Qatari stocks again, with 38 per cent expecting to cut their allocations and none to raise them. Last month, the balance was 23 per cent on each side.
Many Saudi, UAE and Bahraini funds pulled money out of Qatar in June after their governments cut diplomatic and trade links with Doha on June 5.
Selling appeared to ease in July, but the Qatari market came under renewed pressure in August as it became clear there was little prospect of an early end to the diplomatic rift, and as renewed worries about the impact of the sanctions on Qatar's economy emerged. The Qatari stock index has fallen 11 per cent since June 5.
On Monday, Fitch lowered Qatar's credit rating by one notch to AA-minus with a negative outlook, citing the sanctions. That brought it into line with the other two major rating agencies, Moody's and Standard & Poor's.
The downgrade threatens higher funding costs for Qatari banks, which account for most of the stock market's value, as they seek to replace deposits and loans withdrawn by the other Arab states.
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National Editorial: Suleimani has been killed, now we must de-escalate
Mina Al Oraibi: Air strike casts a long shadow over the decade ahead
Matthew Levitt: Iran retains its ability to launch terror attacks
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Transgender report
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The burning issue
The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.
Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on
Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins
Read part one: how cars came to the UAE
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MOUNTAINHEAD REVIEW
Starring: Ramy Youssef, Steve Carell, Jason Schwartzman
Director: Jesse Armstrong
Rating: 3.5/5
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The Bio
Favourite place in UAE: Al Rams pearling village
What one book should everyone read: Any book written before electricity was invented. When a writer willingly worked under candlelight, you know he/she had a real passion for their craft
Your favourite type of pearl: All of them. No pearl looks the same and each carries its own unique characteristics, like humans
Best time to swim in the sea: When there is enough light to see beneath the surface
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The burning issue
The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.
Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on
Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins
Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative
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Matthew Levitt: Iran retains its ability to launch terror attacks
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Mina Al Oraibi: Air strike casts a long shadow over the decade ahead
Jack Moore: Why the assassination is such a monumental gamble
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Simon Waldman: Cautious Israel keeping a low profile
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MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League last-16, second leg:
Real Madrid 1 (Asensio 70'), Ajax 4 (Ziyech 7', Neres 18', Tadic 62', Schone 72')
Ajax win 5-3 on aggregate
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Matches can be watched on BeIN Sports
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Mina Al Oraibi: Air strike casts a long shadow over the decade ahead
Jack Moore: Why the assassination is such a monumental gamble
Matthew Levitt: Iran retains its ability to launch terror attacks
Damien McElroy: A CEO tasked with spreading Iran's influence
Hussein Ibish: Trump's order on solid constitutional ground
Simon Waldman: Cautious Israel keeping a low profile
• Remittance charges will be tackled by blockchain
• UAE's monumental and risky Mars Mission to inspire future generations, says minister
• Could the UAE drive India's economy?
• News has a bright future and the UAE is at the heart of it
• Architecture is over - here's cybertecture
• The National announces Future of News journalism competition
• Round up: Experts share their visions of the world to come
Tomorrow 2021
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The biog
Name: Ayisha Abdulrahman Gareb
Age: 57
From: Kalba
Occupation: Mukrema, though she washes bodies without charge
Favourite things to do: Visiting patients at the hospital and give them the support they need.
Role model: Sheikha Fatima bint Mubarak, Chairwoman of the General Women's Union, Supreme Chairwoman of the Family Development Foundation and President of the Supreme Council for Motherhood and Childhood.
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Tomorrow 2021
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(Saturday, 12pm UAE)
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Shelina Janmohamed: Why shouldn't a spouse be compensated fairly for housework?
Samar Elmnhrawy: How companies in the Middle East can catch up on gender equality
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The burning issue
The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.
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Read part one: how cars came to the UAE
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On Women's Day
Dr Nawal Al-Hosany: Why more women should be on the frontlines of climate action
Shelina Janmohamed: Why shouldn't a spouse be compensated fairly for housework?
Justin Thomas: Challenge the notion that 'men are from Mars, women are from Venus'
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