With Britain’s referendum on European Union membership only a few days away, opinion polls suggest the vote is too close to call. Aside from the intense debate over the political and economic merits of the leave case, a “Brexit” would also have a significant impact on Britain’s contribution to maintaining international security. Although the legacy of empire and worldwide interests are an integral part of the country’s self-image, the UK’s global influence will be diminished if it chooses to disengage from the EU.
This would be particularly evident in the Middle East. Through trade, diplomacy and military intervention, Britain has been heavily involved in the region since the collapse of the Ottoman Empire after the First World War. London’s ongoing commitment to the security of the Arabian Gulf is demonstrated by its commitment to build a new naval base in Bahrain, which could provide support to the two new aircraft carriers that will be available for deployment in the Indian Ocean and elsewhere after 2021.
After the failure of the EU to effectively respond to the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1991, a Belgian government minister described the Union as “an economic giant, a political dwarf and a military worm”. Much has changed since then, not least due to an active British role in leading military operations and post-conflict stabilisation work. To take one example, the UK and other EU members are helping to stabilise Somalia through anti-piracy operations, training military and police forces, and funds for an African Union peacekeeping force.
More important than providing military aid, London has also exerted effective influence in the region through concerted diplomatic action with its EU partners. In 2003, Britain, France and Germany took the lead in initiating diplomatic contacts to resolve the dispute over the Iranian nuclear programme, a process that was eventually expanded to include the US, Russia and China as the P5+1 powers negotiating with Tehran.
Economic power rather than military threats explain why the European powers were able to play a key role in the deal eventually reached with Iran in 2015. The EU economy is worth approximately $18 trillion (Dh66tn)and constitutes nearly a quarter of the world’s nominal GDP. EU sanctions and Iran’s exclusion from the “Swift” banking system provided significant inducements to the Tehran regime to seek a diplomatic compromise.
It is hard to see Britain exerting the same kind of global diplomatic clout if the country decides to isolate itself from Europe. In the event of a decision to leave, Britain would, of course, continue to contribute to western security cooperation through Nato. But this would be scant compensation, given that military power can only be effective if supported by economic strength along with the acceptance that the international system must be underpinned by agreed rules if conflicts are to be avoided.
The EU has played a leading role in the creation and observance of a range of international initiatives including the International Criminal Court, the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty and the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea. Indeed, the very concept of the western alliance assumes a community of states based on the principles of liberalism, rights and the rule of law. However, although ascendant in the aftermath of the Soviet Union’s collapse, the western system of values was first undermined by the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003 and then severely damaged by the fallout from the 2008 global financial crisis.
The emergence of a multipolar world has long been forecast, and several emerging powers, seeking dominance in their regions and fearful of what they see as the corrupting influence of liberalism and multilateralism, will hope to see Nato and the EU weaken and fragment. Undermining these alliances is a key strategic objective of the Russian regime led by Vladimir Putin. In the Far East, the Beijing government’s airfield building on disputed islets in the South China Sea has unnerved US allies such as Malaysia, the Philippines and Taiwan and signals, potentially, a direct challenge to Washington itself.
In view of these emerging challenges, it is no surprise that a host of leaders, including Barack Obama, have expressed dismay at the prospect of Brexit. A British decision to leave the EU would suggest that the western alliance is losing the will to cooperate in promoting its values and protecting its interests. After the unhappy experience of recent interventions in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya, increased discord among Nato and EU members could reduce their willingness to cooperate on urgent regional problems including ISIL, the Syrian civil war and the instability in Libya and Yemen.
European Council president Donald Tusk recently warned that Britain’s departure from Europe “could be the beginning of the destruction of not only the EU but also western political civilisation in its entirety”.
Brexit would undermine both the EU as one of the pillars of the international system and the notion of a world order based on western values. The likely result will be greater scepticism about the value of multilateralism and an increased emphasis on power as the ultimate arbiter in international affairs, with obvious implications for intensifying regional rivalries and potential future conflicts.
Stephen Blackwell is an international politics and security analyst
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
Started: 2020
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment
Number of staff: 210
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
Price, base / as tested: Dh182,178
Engine: 3.7-litre V6
Power: 350hp @ 7,400rpm
Torque: 374Nm @ 5,200rpm
Transmission: Seven-speed automatic
Fuel consumption, combined: 10.5L / 100km
In-demand jobs and monthly salaries
- Technology expert in robotics and automation: Dh20,000 to Dh40,000
- Energy engineer: Dh25,000 to Dh30,000
- Production engineer: Dh30,000 to Dh40,000
- Data-driven supply chain management professional: Dh30,000 to Dh50,000
- HR leader: Dh40,000 to Dh60,000
- Engineering leader: Dh30,000 to Dh55,000
- Project manager: Dh55,000 to Dh65,000
- Senior reservoir engineer: Dh40,000 to Dh55,000
- Senior drilling engineer: Dh38,000 to Dh46,000
- Senior process engineer: Dh28,000 to Dh38,000
- Senior maintenance engineer: Dh22,000 to Dh34,000
- Field engineer: Dh6,500 to Dh7,500
- Field supervisor: Dh9,000 to Dh12,000
- Field operator: Dh5,000 to Dh7,000
How to donate
Send “thenational” to the following numbers or call the hotline on: 0502955999
2289 – Dh10
2252 – Dh 50
6025 – Dh20
6027 – Dh 100
6026 – Dh 200
How to watch Ireland v Pakistan in UAE
When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
What time: Each day’s play is scheduled to start at 2pm UAE time.
TV: The match will be broadcast on OSN Sports Cricket HD. Subscribers to the channel can also stream the action live on OSN Play.
Director: Paul Weitz
Stars: Kevin Hart
3/5 stars
Where to donate in the UAE
The Emirates Charity Portal
You can donate to several registered charities through a “donation catalogue”. The use of the donation is quite specific, such as buying a fan for a poor family in Niger for Dh130.
The General Authority of Islamic Affairs & Endowments
The site has an e-donation service accepting debit card, credit card or e-Dirham, an electronic payment tool developed by the Ministry of Finance and First Abu Dhabi Bank.
Al Noor Special Needs Centre
You can donate online or order Smiles n’ Stuff products handcrafted by Al Noor students. The centre publishes a wish list of extras needed, starting at Dh500.
Beit Al Khair Society
Beit Al Khair Society has the motto “From – and to – the UAE,” with donations going towards the neediest in the country. Its website has a list of physical donation sites, but people can also contribute money by SMS, bank transfer and through the hotline 800-22554.
Dar Al Ber Society
Dar Al Ber Society, which has charity projects in 39 countries, accept cash payments, money transfers or SMS donations. Its donation hotline is 800-79.
Dubai Cares
Dubai Cares provides several options for individuals and companies to donate, including online, through banks, at retail outlets, via phone and by purchasing Dubai Cares branded merchandise. It is currently running a campaign called Bookings 2030, which allows people to help change the future of six underprivileged children and young people.
Emirates Airline Foundation
Those who travel on Emirates have undoubtedly seen the little donation envelopes in the seat pockets. But the foundation also accepts donations online and in the form of Skywards Miles. Donated miles are used to sponsor travel for doctors, surgeons, engineers and other professionals volunteering on humanitarian missions around the world.
Emirates Red Crescent
On the Emirates Red Crescent website you can choose between 35 different purposes for your donation, such as providing food for fasters, supporting debtors and contributing to a refugee women fund. It also has a list of bank accounts for each donation type.
Gulf for Good
Gulf for Good raises funds for partner charity projects through challenges, like climbing Kilimanjaro and cycling through Thailand. This year’s projects are in partnership with Street Child Nepal, Larchfield Kids, the Foundation for African Empowerment and SOS Children's Villages. Since 2001, the organisation has raised more than $3.5 million (Dh12.8m) in support of over 50 children’s charities.
Noor Dubai Foundation
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum launched the Noor Dubai Foundation a decade ago with the aim of eliminating all forms of preventable blindness globally. You can donate Dh50 to support mobile eye camps by texting the word “Noor” to 4565 (Etisalat) or 4849 (du).
THE SPECS
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cylinder turbo
Power: 275hp at 6,600rpm
Torque: 353Nm from 1,450-4,700rpm
Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch auto
Top speed: 250kph
Fuel consumption: 6.8L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: Dh146,999
SERIES INFO
Cricket World Cup League Two
Nepal, Oman, United States tri-series
Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu
Fixtures
Wednesday February 5, Oman v Nepal
Thursday, February 6, Oman v United States
Saturday, February 8, United States v Nepal
Sunday, February 9, Oman v Nepal
Tuesday, February 11, Oman v United States
Wednesday, February 12, United States v Nepal
Table
The top three sides advance to the 2022 World Cup Qualifier.
The bottom four sides are relegated to the 2022 World Cup playoff
1 United States 8 6 2 0 0 12 0.412
2 Scotland 8 4 3 0 1 9 0.139
3 Namibia 7 4 3 0 0 8 0.008
4 Oman 6 4 2 0 0 8 -0.139
5 UAE 7 3 3 0 1 7 -0.004
6 Nepal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 PNG 8 0 8 0 0 0 -0.458
MATCH INFO
Qalandars 109-3 (10ovs)
Salt 30, Malan 24, Trego 23, Jayasuriya 2-14
Bangla Tigers (9.4ovs)
Fletcher 52, Rossouw 31
Bangla Tigers win by six wickets
AUSTRALIA SQUAD
Steve Smith (capt), David Warner, Cameron Bancroft, Jackson Bird, Pat Cummins, Peter Handscomb, Josh Hazlewood, Usman Khawaja, Nathan Lyon, Shaun Marsh, Tim Paine, Chadd Sayers, Mitchell Starc.
The biog
Name: Fareed Lafta
Age: 40
From: Baghdad, Iraq
Mission: Promote world peace
Favourite poet: Al Mutanabbi
Role models: His parents
The specs: Rolls-Royce Cullinan
Price, base: Dh1 million (estimate)
Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbo V12
Transmission: Eight-speed automatic
Power: 563hp @ 5,000rpm
Torque: 850Nm @ 1,600rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 15L / 100km
More from Rashmee Roshan Lall
Tips for SMEs to cope
- Adapt your business model. Make changes that are future-proof to the new normal
- Make sure you have an online presence
- Open communication with suppliers, especially if they are international. Look for local suppliers to avoid delivery delays
- Open communication with customers to see how they are coping and be flexible about extending terms, etc
Courtesy: Craig Moore, founder and CEO of Beehive, which provides term finance and working capital finance to SMEs. Only SMEs that have been trading for two years are eligible for funding from Beehive.
MATCH INFO
World Cup 2022 qualifier
UAE v Indonesia, Thursday, 8pm
Venue: Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
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Brief scores:
Everton 0
Leicester City 1
Vardy 58'
Company Fact Box
Company name/date started: Abwaab Technologies / September 2019
Founders: Hamdi Tabbaa, co-founder and CEO. Hussein Alsarabi, co-founder and CTO
Based: Amman, Jordan
Sector: Education Technology
Size (employees/revenue): Total team size: 65. Full-time employees: 25. Revenue undisclosed
Stage: early-stage startup
Investors: Adam Tech Ventures, Endure Capital, Equitrust, the World Bank-backed Innovative Startups SMEs Fund, a London investment fund, a number of former and current executives from Uber and Netflix, among others.
MATCH INFO
Mumbai Indians 186-6 (20 ovs)
Kings XI Punjab 183-5 (20 ovs)
Mumbai Indians won by three runs
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills